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Plain-English guides to researching a stock: reading insider and Congress trades, analyst targets, options and earnings, and how to tell whether an AI stock call is any good.
- Buybacks and dilution: what changes in the share count mean for you
How share buybacks and new share issues change what each share owns, how to tell a real buyback from an announcement, and what dilution signals to watch for.
- P/E and valuation without the jargon: is a stock cheap or expensive?
What the P/E ratio actually measures, trailing vs forward P/E, why a low P/E isn't automatically cheap, and the few other numbers that make valuation make sense.
- SEC filings in plain English: 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, S-3 and 13D
What the main SEC filings are, which ones usually matter for a stock and which are routine, and how to find the important part of each in minutes.
- How to research a stock in 15 minutes: a checklist
A practical 15-minute routine for checking a stock before you decide anything: the business, the numbers, what insiders and analysts are doing, the risks, and the other side.
- Is this stock a buy? How to answer it for yourself
Why nobody can honestly answer "is NVDA a buy?" for you, the four questions that matter instead, and how to use AI analysts as a second opinion.
- 13F filings and short interest: what big funds' holdings tell you about a stock
How to read institutional ownership from 13F filings, why the data is months old, and what short interest and days-to-cover add.
- Earnings estimate revisions: why the direction matters more than the number
What consensus earnings estimates are, why revisions and their momentum say more than the estimate itself, and how beat-and-raise patterns work.
- How to use ChatGPT for stock research (and where it goes wrong)
Practical prompts for researching a stock with ChatGPT or any AI chatbot, the five ways it misleads people, and how to check what it tells you.
- What is a Brier score? How to tell if a stock forecast is any good
The Brier score explained with simple examples: how it grades forecasts that give a chance, why hit rates mislead, and what to compare a forecaster against.
- What the options market says about a stock: implied move, put/call ratio and skew
How to read implied volatility, the expected move, the put/call ratio and skew in plain English, and why options are better at sizing moves than calling direction.
- Analyst price targets, explained: why they run high and how to read them
What a Wall Street price target is, why the average target is usually above today's price, and the parts of analyst data that tell you more than the target itself.
- Can AI predict stock prices? What the research says, and what our own record shows
An honest look at whether ChatGPT and other AI models can forecast stocks: what the studies found, why short-term prices are so hard, and how to use AI without fooling yourself.
- Congress stock trades, explained: what the STOCK Act disclosures show and what they don't
How members of Congress report their stock trades, why the filings come weeks late and in dollar ranges, and how to read them sensibly as one piece of evidence.
- How Ticker Council scores its calls (and what the record says so far)
Every Ticker Council call is saved unedited and scored against what the price did, using the Brier score and two simple baselines. Here's the method and the honest result.
- How Ticker Council works: twelve AI analysts, one debate, one scored call
What happens when you run a stock on Ticker Council: twelve seats each read one kind of data, argue, get challenged, and vote. Then the call is scored.
- How to get a free Google Gemini API key (about 2 minutes, no card)
Step-by-step: create a free Gemini API key in Google AI Studio, keep it free, keep it safe, and fix the most common errors.
- How to read insider trades (SEC Form 4) without fooling yourself
What an insider's Form 4 filing tells you, which transaction codes matter, why most insider selling means little, and the patterns worth paying attention to.